| |
1986 |
1987 |
1988 |
1989 |
1990 |
1991 |
1992 |
1993 |
1994 |
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
| |
Historical Data
|
NFAPP's Forecasting Data
|
| California Table Grape Acreage (1,000
Acres) |
81.6 |
82.8 |
86.2 |
80.7 |
78.0 |
75.5 |
77.3 |
77.8 |
77.8 |
76.8 |
75.0 |
76.7 |
78.2 |
79.5 |
80.7 |
81.8 |
82.8 |
83.7 |
84.5 |
85.3 |
85.9 |
86.5 |
87.1 |
| California Table Grape Yield (Tons/Acre) |
7.60 |
6.52 |
8.94 |
7.80 |
8.27 |
8.21 |
8.34 |
8.12 |
7.74 |
9.21 |
7.89 |
10.76 |
8.35 |
8.58 |
8.66 |
8.76 |
8.85 |
8.89 |
9.00 |
9.09 |
9.17 |
9.25 |
9.34 |
| California Table
Grape Production (1000 ST) |
620 |
540 |
770 |
630 |
645 |
620 |
645 |
632 |
602 |
707 |
592 |
825 |
653 |
682 |
699 |
717 |
733 |
745 |
761 |
775 |
788 |
801 |
813 |
| California Wine Grape Acreage (1,000
Acres) |
312.3 |
304.1 |
297.2 |
290.2 |
290.6 |
294.2 |
300.0 |
312.0 |
307.0 |
302.0 |
312.0 |
329.0 |
323.0 |
322.2 |
329.7 |
341.3 |
341.3 |
338.6 |
337.9 |
338.8 |
340.4 |
341.5 |
340.9 |
| California Wine Grape Yield (Tons/Acre) |
6.74 |
6.41 |
7.33 |
7.55 |
7.55 |
7.46 |
7.15 |
7.68 |
7.38 |
7.53 |
7.13 |
8.94 |
9.67 |
9.03 |
9.23 |
9.45 |
9.68 |
9.88 |
9.99 |
10.04 |
10.21 |
10.38 |
10.53 |
| California Wine
Grape Production (1000 ST) |
2,105 |
1,950 |
2,180 |
2,190 |
2,195 |
2,195 |
2,145 |
2,397 |
2,265 |
2,275 |
2,225 |
2,940 |
3,122 |
2,911 |
3,042 |
3,226 |
3,303 |
3,344 |
3,376 |
3,403 |
3,477 |
3,543 |
3,590 |
| California Raisin Grape Acreage (1,000
Acres) |
276.9 |
274.5 |
271.3 |
271.2 |
269.6 |
266.0 |
267.0 |
266.0 |
270.0 |
268.0 |
270.0 |
270.0 |
271.7 |
273.1 |
274.3 |
275.4 |
276.4 |
277.3 |
278.0 |
278.7 |
279.2 |
279.7 |
280.2 |
| California Raisin Grape Yield (Tons/Acre) |
7.39 |
7.90 |
9.47 |
9.48 |
8.70 |
8.14 |
10.00 |
8.85 |
8.85 |
9.27 |
8.12 |
10.66 |
9.41 |
9.50 |
9.51 |
9.60 |
9.66 |
9.73 |
9.80 |
9.86 |
9.92 |
9.99 |
10.05 |
| California Raisin
Grape Production (1000 ST) |
2,045 |
2,170 |
2,570 |
2,570 |
2,345 |
2,165 |
2,670 |
2,354 |
2,389 |
2,252 |
2,192 |
2,877 |
2,558 |
2,593 |
2,610 |
2,644 |
2,672 |
2,698 |
2,723 |
2,746 |
2,771 |
2,794 |
2,817 |
| Other U.S. Grape Bearing Acreage (1,000
Acr) |
99.9 |
102.3 |
106.1 |
102.9 |
101.8 |
100.2 |
101.8 |
104.4 |
106.6 |
107.4 |
108.3 |
109.4 |
105.1 |
106.4 |
108.2 |
110.5 |
112.2 |
111.2 |
112.2 |
113.4 |
114.6 |
115.7 |
116.5 |
| Other U.S. Grape Yield (Tons/Acre) |
4.56 |
5.91 |
4.84 |
5.26 |
4.67 |
5.75 |
5.82 |
6.13 |
5.80 |
6.41 |
5.03 |
5.85 |
5.97 |
6.03 |
6.09 |
6.16 |
6.22 |
6.28 |
6.35 |
6.41 |
6.47 |
6.54 |
6.60 |
| Other U.S. Grape Production (1000
ST) |
456 |
604 |
514 |
541 |
475 |
576 |
592 |
640 |
618 |
688 |
545 |
640 |
627 |
641 |
659 |
680 |
698 |
698 |
712 |
727 |
742 |
756 |
769 |
| Total U.S. Grape
Production (1000 ST) |
5,226 |
5,264 |
6,034 |
5,931 |
5,660 |
5,556 |
6,052 |
6,023 |
5,874 |
5,922 |
5,554 |
7,282 |
6,960 |
6,827 |
7,009 |
7,268 |
7,405 |
7,485 |
7,572 |
7,651 |
7,777 |
7,894 |
7,989 |
| Grape Utilized
Production (1000 ST) |
5,225 |
5,251 |
6,032 |
5,930 |
5,660 |
5,555 |
6,033 |
6,015 |
5,869 |
5,913 |
5,538 |
7,279 |
6,872 |
6,741 |
6,920 |
7,176 |
7,311 |
7,390 |
7,476 |
7,554 |
7,679 |
7,794 |
7,888 |
| Fresh Market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Domestic Production
(1000 Tons) |
779 |
716 |
831 |
787 |
849 |
800 |
769 |
801 |
809 |
853 |
768 |
937 |
924 |
912 |
926 |
944 |
955 |
964 |
973 |
981 |
993 |
1,004 |
1,013 |
| Imports (1000
Tons) |
270 |
341 |
326 |
400 |
374 |
347 |
359 |
340 |
389 |
386 |
390 |
446 |
500 |
520 |
541 |
561 |
581 |
601 |
622 |
642 |
664 |
685 |
706 |
| Total Supply
(1000 Tons) |
1,050 |
1,057 |
1,157 |
1,187 |
1,223 |
1,148 |
1,128 |
1,141 |
1,198 |
1,239 |
1,158 |
1,383 |
1,424 |
1,432 |
1,466 |
1,505 |
1,537 |
1,566 |
1,595 |
1,623 |
1,657 |
1,688 |
1,719 |
| Per Capita Consumption
(Lbs) |
7.13 |
7.08 |
7.73 |
7.98 |
7.96 |
7.30 |
7.23 |
7.08 |
7.33 |
7.52 |
6.94 |
8.08 |
7.79 |
7.69 |
7.84 |
7.99 |
8.02 |
8.06 |
8.09 |
8.08 |
8.10 |
8.21 |
8.32 |
| Total Consumption
(1000 Tons) |
858 |
860 |
947 |
987 |
995 |
922 |
923 |
914 |
955 |
990 |
921 |
1,081 |
1,051 |
1,046 |
1,077 |
1,106 |
1,119 |
1,133 |
1,147 |
1,155 |
1,166 |
1,192 |
1,219 |
| Exports (1000
Tons) |
191 |
198 |
210 |
200 |
228 |
225 |
205 |
227 |
239 |
245 |
232 |
300 |
373 |
386 |
390 |
398 |
418 |
433 |
448 |
469 |
491 |
496 |
500 |
| Total Utilization
(1000 Tons) |
1,049 |
1,057 |
1,157 |
1,187 |
1,222 |
1,147 |
1,128 |
1,141 |
1,194 |
1,235 |
1,153 |
1,381 |
1,424 |
1,432 |
1,466 |
1,505 |
1,537 |
1,566 |
1,595 |
1,623 |
1,657 |
1,688 |
1,719 |
| Grower Price
($/Lb) |
0.23 |
0.27 |
0.26 |
0.30 |
0.27 |
0.27 |
0.21 |
0.34 |
0.29 |
0.31 |
0.36 |
0.30 |
0.33 |
0.35 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
0.40 |
0.41 |
0.43 |
0.44 |
0.46 |
0.47 |
0.49 |
| Retail Price
($/Lb) |
1.14 |
1.17 |
1.16 |
1.21 |
1.26 |
1.40 |
1.29 |
1.42 |
1.51 |
1.55 |
1.69 |
1.71 |
1.68 |
1.68 |
1.59 |
1.58 |
1.62 |
1.63 |
1.64 |
1.68 |
1.69 |
1.66 |
1.66 |
| |
1986 |
1987 |
1988 |
1989 |
1990 |
1991 |
1992 |
1993 |
1994 |
1995 |
1996 |
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2008 |
| |
Historical Data
|
NFAPP's Forecasting Data
|
| Wine Market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Domestic Allocation
to Wine (1000 Tons) |
2,909 |
2,647 |
2,982 |
2,850 |
2,698 |
2,718 |
3,237 |
3,026 |
2,695 |
2,974 |
3,043 |
4,035 |
3,023 |
3,165 |
3,221 |
3,335 |
3,365 |
3,393 |
3,427 |
3,455 |
3,509 |
3,550 |
3,586 |
| Domestic Production
(Million Gallons) |
469 |
498 |
494 |
468 |
467 |
423 |
403 |
459 |
480 |
515 |
433 |
726 |
544 |
570 |
580 |
600 |
606 |
611 |
617 |
622 |
632 |
639 |
646 |
| Imports (Million
Gallons) |
109 |
76 |
81 |
76 |
67 |
61 |
71 |
65 |
73 |
74 |
95 |
79 |
111 |
144 |
99 |
93 |
88 |
98 |
97 |
114 |
123 |
128 |
131 |
| Begining Stocks
(Million Gallons) |
648 |
630 |
609 |
603 |
606 |
601 |
594 |
597 |
576 |
589 |
564 |
504 |
645 |
622 |
656 |
683 |
686 |
699 |
708 |
714 |
720 |
722 |
728 |
| Total Supply
(Million Gallons) |
1,226 |
1,205 |
1,184 |
1,147 |
1,139 |
1,085 |
1,068 |
1,121 |
1,129 |
1,178 |
1,092 |
1,309 |
1,300 |
1,335 |
1,335 |
1,376 |
1,380 |
1,407 |
1,422 |
1,451 |
1,475 |
1,488 |
1,505 |
| Per Capita Consumtion
(Gallons) |
2.43 |
2.44 |
2.29 |
2.10 |
2.07 |
1.90 |
1.70 |
1.98 |
1.94 |
2.19 |
2.04 |
2.38 |
2.29 |
2.23 |
2.13 |
2.08 |
2.04 |
1.99 |
1.95 |
1.91 |
1.84 |
1.77 |
1.75 |
| Total Consumption
(Million Gallons) |
585 |
593 |
561 |
520 |
517 |
480 |
434 |
511 |
506 |
576 |
541 |
637 |
618 |
606 |
586 |
575 |
568 |
561 |
553 |
546 |
530 |
513 |
511 |
| Exports (Million
Gallons) |
7 |
12 |
17 |
22 |
26 |
28 |
32 |
31 |
32 |
35 |
43 |
55 |
61 |
73 |
66 |
115 |
113 |
138 |
154 |
185 |
223 |
247 |
263 |
| Ending Stocks
(Million Gallons) |
630 |
609 |
603 |
606 |
601 |
594 |
597 |
576 |
589 |
564 |
504 |
645 |
622 |
656 |
683 |
686 |
699 |
708 |
714 |
720 |
722 |
728 |
731 |
| Total Utilization
(Million Gallons) |
1,222 |
1,214 |
1,181 |
1,147 |
1,144 |
1,102 |
1,063 |
1,118 |
1,126 |
1,175 |
1,088 |
1,336 |
1,300 |
1,335 |
1,335 |
1,376 |
1,380 |
1,407 |
1,422 |
1,451 |
1,475 |
1,488 |
1,505 |
| Grower Price
($/Gallon) |
1.14 |
1.35 |
1.55 |
1.82 |
1.70 |
1.90 |
2.01 |
2.00 |
2.10 |
2.30 |
2.77 |
3.05 |
2.16 |
2.34 |
2.36 |
2.38 |
2.44 |
2.48 |
2.52 |
2.58 |
2.55 |
2.57 |
2.56 |
| Retail Price
($/Gallon) |
21.15 |
20.86 |
21.38 |
22.32 |
22.59 |
24.89 |
24.44 |
25.92 |
26.18 |
26.00 |
26.91 |
27.29 |
27.20 |
27.93 |
29.53 |
28.58 |
28.72 |
29.18 |
29.65 |
30.25 |
30.34 |
30.87 |
30.92 |
| Raisin Market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Domestic Production (1000 Tons) |
297.1 |
359.8 |
456.8 |
466.0 |
436.8 |
395.6 |
394.0 |
419.3 |
476.6 |
388.1 |
332.3 |
449.9 |
465.2 |
446.5 |
472.8 |
507.3 |
527.1 |
537.4 |
547.2 |
556.0 |
570.1 |
583.6 |
595.0 |
| Imports (1000 Tons) |
6.2 |
8.9 |
10.9 |
11.9 |
11.7 |
9.1 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
11.2 |
13.3 |
13.0 |
12.4 |
11.5 |
12.3 |
12.5 |
12.3 |
12.2 |
12.1 |
12.3 |
12.3 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
12.2 |
| Begining Stocks (1000 Tons) |
85.5 |
91.9 |
88.0 |
117.9 |
144.3 |
109.3 |
115.4 |
93.8 |
92.2 |
105.5 |
96.6 |
98.7 |
99.3 |
99.9 |
102.1 |
100.5 |
102.6 |
102.9 |
105.1 |
105.2 |
105.9 |
105.6 |
106.9 |
| Total Supply (1000 Tons) |
388.8 |
460.6 |
555.7 |
595.8 |
592.8 |
514.0 |
516.8 |
520.8 |
580.0 |
506.9 |
441.9 |
560.9 |
576.1 |
558.6 |
587.4 |
620.2 |
641.9 |
652.5 |
664.5 |
673.5 |
688.3 |
701.4 |
714.2 |
| Per Capita Consumption (Lbs) |
1.8 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
| Total Consumption (Current) (1000
Tons) |
217.8 |
230.7 |
258.5 |
238.7 |
246.2 |
241.2 |
229.8 |
246.5 |
225.5 |
221.1 |
212.3 |
215.4 |
269.8 |
266.7 |
266.1 |
265.1 |
267.3 |
267.6 |
267.6 |
267.5 |
267.6 |
269.6 |
270.6 |
| Demand for Reserves (Future Use) (1000
Tons) |
0.4 |
56.6 |
79.9 |
119.6 |
117.0 |
24.2 |
63.3 |
60.7 |
124.5 |
60.3 |
61.3 |
110.5 |
110.7 |
99.9 |
128.3 |
156.0 |
170.5 |
173.4 |
179.2 |
180.8 |
188.5 |
197.3 |
205.8 |
| Exports (1000 Tons) |
78.3 |
84.7 |
99.2 |
93.0 |
120.7 |
132.5 |
129.6 |
120.8 |
122.7 |
130.8 |
129.9 |
133.0 |
95.6 |
90.0 |
92.5 |
96.4 |
101.1 |
106.5 |
112.5 |
119.2 |
126.6 |
127.5 |
129.2 |
| Ending Stocks (1000 Tons) |
91.9 |
88.0 |
117.9 |
144.3 |
109.3 |
115.4 |
93.8 |
92.2 |
105.5 |
96.6 |
98.7 |
99.3 |
99.9 |
102.1 |
100.5 |
102.6 |
102.9 |
105.1 |
105.2 |
105.9 |
105.6 |
106.9 |
108.5 |
| Total Utilization (1000 Tons) |
388.4 |
459.9 |
555.5 |
595.6 |
593.1 |
513.4 |
516.5 |
520.2 |
578.2 |
508.7 |
502.1 |
558.1 |
576.1 |
558.6 |
587.4 |
620.2 |
641.9 |
652.5 |
664.5 |
673.5 |
688.3 |
701.4 |
714.2 |
| Grower Price ($/Lb) |
0.089 |
0.102 |
0.090 |
0.114 |
0.103 |
0.106 |
0.114 |
0.109 |
0.115 |
0.098 |
0.128 |
0.092 |
0.116 |
0.125 |
0.123 |
0.126 |
0.123 |
0.127 |
0.128 |
0.132 |
0.136 |
0.134 |
0.136 |
| Retail Price ($/Lb) |
0.96 |
1.00 |
1.26 |
1.32 |
1.39 |
1.43 |
1.47 |
1.52 |
1.60 |
1.60 |
1.62 |
1.65 |
1.59 |
1.70 |
1.67 |
1.72 |
1.68 |
1.73 |
1.74 |
1.79 |
1.84 |
1.82 |
1.85 |
| Grape Juice Market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Domestic Allocation to Juice (1000
Tons) |
310 |
411 |
352 |
389 |
326 |
414 |
405 |
466 |
421 |
499 |
362 |
462 |
437 |
443 |
447 |
450 |
456 |
461 |
465 |
470 |
475 |
480 |
484 |
| Domestic Production (1000 Gallons) |
58,355 |
77,306 |
66,120 |
73,094 |
61,232 |
77,757 |
76,046 |
87,646 |
79,110 |
93,737 |
68,150 |
86,950 |
82,196 |
83,342 |
83,997 |
84,666 |
85,749 |
86,597 |
87,436 |
88,297 |
89,231 |
90,152 |
91,041 |
| Imports (1000 Gallons) |
8,185 |
5,502 |
11,380 |
17,629 |
29,730 |
19,795 |
49,515 |
34,373 |
17,664 |
23,449 |
59,297 |
63,367 |
24,360 |
25,691 |
26,615 |
27,776 |
28,851 |
29,998 |
31,122 |
32,219 |
32,751 |
33,228 |
34,449 |
| Total Supply (1000 Gallons) |
66,540 |
82,808 |
77,500 |
90,723 |
90,962 |
97,552 |
125,561 |
122,019 |
96,774 |
117,186 |
127,447 |
150,317 |
106,555 |
109,033 |
110,612 |
112,442 |
114,600 |
116,595 |
118,558 |
120,516 |
121,981 |
123,380 |
125,490 |
| Per Capita Consumption (Gallons) |
0.24 |
0.31 |
0.27 |
0.31 |
0.28 |
0.36 |
0.38 |
0.35 |
0.29 |
0.46 |
0.39 |
0.41 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
| Total Consumption (1000 Gallons) |
57,763 |
75,280 |
66,166 |
76,691 |
69,974 |
90,940 |
97,043 |
90,339 |
75,589 |
121,080 |
103,488 |
109,695 |
83,487 |
84,753 |
85,118 |
85,742 |
86,680 |
87,462 |
88,213 |
88,959 |
89,211 |
89,395 |
90,293 |
| Exports (1000 Gallons) |
8,777 |
7,528 |
11,333 |
16,506 |
18,335 |
16,261 |
22,080 |
22,693 |
16,734 |
18,580 |
21,007 |
23,070 |
23,069 |
24,280 |
25,495 |
26,700 |
27,920 |
29,132 |
30,345 |
31,558 |
32,771 |
33,985 |
35,198 |
| Total Utilization (1000 Gallons) |
66,540 |
82,808 |
77,500 |
93,197 |
88,309 |
107,201 |
119,123 |
113,032 |
92,323 |
139,660 |
124,495 |
132,765 |
106,555 |
109,033 |
110,612 |
112,442 |
114,600 |
116,595 |
118,558 |
120,516 |
121,981 |
123,380 |
125,490 |
| Grower Price ($/Gallon) |
0.99 |
1.09 |
1.20 |
1.41 |
1.49 |
1.26 |
1.07 |
1.01 |
1.01 |
0.86 |
1.12 |
1.27 |
1.13 |
1.11 |
1.15 |
1.18 |
1.19 |
1.21 |
1.22 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
1.23 |
| Retail Price ($/Gallon) |
1.76 |
1.30 |
1.70 |
1.47 |
1.67 |
1.32 |
1.26 |
1.23 |
1.31 |
1.43 |
1.47 |
1.50 |
1.43 |
1.39 |
1.41 |
1.41 |
1.39 |
1.38 |
1.37 |
1.36 |
1.38 |
1.41 |
1.39 |
| Canned Grape Market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Domestic Production (1000 Tons) |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
41.0 |
46.0 |
45.0 |
38.0 |
35.0 |
36.0 |
44.0 |
42.0 |
41.0 |
39.3 |
37.8 |
36.9 |
37.3 |
36.1 |
35.9 |
34.5 |
33.0 |
31.6 |
| Total Supply (1000 Tons) |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
40.0 |
41.0 |
46.0 |
45.0 |
38.0 |
35.0 |
36.0 |
44.0 |
42.0 |
41.0 |
39.3 |
37.8 |
36.9 |
37.3 |
36.1 |
35.9 |
34.5 |
33.0 |
31.6 |
| Per Capita Consumption (Lbs) |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.33 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.32 |
0.36 |
0.35 |
0.29 |
0.27 |
0.27 |
0.33 |
0.31 |
0.30 |
0.29 |
0.27 |
0.26 |
0.27 |
0.25 |
0.25 |
0.24 |
0.23 |
0.22 |
| Total Consumption (1000 Tons) |
39.71 |
40.07 |
40.43 |
39.58 |
39.99 |
40.42 |
45.97 |
45.17 |
37.79 |
35.01 |
35.96 |
44.01 |
41.95 |
40.98 |
39.31 |
37.79 |
36.90 |
37.35 |
36.05 |
35.95 |
34.50 |
33.01 |
31.58 |
| Total Utilization (1000 Tons) |
39.71 |
40.07 |
40.43 |
39.58 |
39.99 |
40.42 |
45.97 |
45.17 |
37.79 |
35.01 |
35.96 |
44.01 |
41.95 |
40.98 |
39.31 |
37.79 |
36.90 |
37.35 |
36.05 |
35.95 |
34.50 |
33.01 |
31.58 |
| Grower Price ($/Lb) |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.11 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.12 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.13 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.14 |
0.15 |
0.15 |
0.15 |